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Recent volatility creates conversation opportunities with existing and prospective clients. Success is anchored to this fundamental tenet: "We get paid to have an opinion."

Consider these four conversations where lacking clarity on—or conviction in—your opinion could lead to missed opportunities:

  • Making first encounters count. When your answer to "what are you telling your clients right now" sounds like a committee of six economists: "on the one hand this, on the other hand that."
  • Inspiring prospective clients to move forward. Meetings end with prospective clients saying, "we would like to wait for things to settle down."
  • Calming current client concerns. Clients hang up the phone feeling more confused than prior to your call.
  • Capturing referable moments. Clients find themselves in conversations with friends about the market, yet these referable moments are squandered due a lack of clarity and conviction in your latest client update call.

Capitalize on these opportunities by following our four best practices of great thesis articulation. Be timely, be pithy, use sound bites that are easy to remember and connect the dots between your financial beliefs and the advice you deliver to clients.

For some inspiration, consider Andrew Slimmon's, Head of Applied Equity Advisors Team, current thesis: "We are still in the early stages of a bull market." Here are five reasons Andrew believes the equity rally isn't over.

  1. Retail fund flows turned positive only in November, a year off the market low. This is consistent with past turns in fund flows. We think this capitulation is in early stages and is likely fuel for further gains.
  2. The market has always gone up the year incumbent Presidents run for re-election since 1944.
  3. The period when the Fed has stopped hiking, but not yet started cutting, is historically good for equities. We want the Fed to remain on hold.
  4. Corporate buybacks should continue to support equities, since they are targeted to increase 13% this year and 16% in 2025 ($1.1 trillion).1
  5. Such a strong Q1 historically bodes well for the rest of the year.

Bottom Line: Seize the opportunities presented by volatility spikes to crystallize and communicate your views with a well-crafted thesis.

"Capitalize on these opportunities by following our four best practices of great thesis articulation."

The Author

1. Goldman Sachs, April 1, 2024.

Market is defined as the S&P 500 Index. The index performance is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not meant to depict the performance of a specific investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The views, opinions, and forecasts are those of the speaker and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all portfolio managers at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) or the views of the firm as a whole and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers. The Information is provided for reference only and should not be deemed as a recommendation to buy or sell securities within the countries and/or sectors referenced.

At the Advisor Institute, our goal is not to shape your opinion or provide investment advice, rather to share this viewpoint as an example of what we believe to be a superb display of thesis articulation.

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